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Supercomputer predicts final Premier League table & result of seven-club relegation battle

by Olly Hawkins · 15 February 2022, 15:35

According to the statisticians at FiveThirtyEight, Newcastle United will be a Premier League club next season - but only just!

They believe we will finish the 2021/22 campaign in 17th place on 35 points, backing us to end up two clear of Burnley (33 points in 18th), six ahead of Watford (29 points in 19th) and seven clear of Norwich (28 points in 20th).

Their end-of-season probabilities also have us down as a 38% chance of relegation as things stand, with Burnley at 50%, Watford 80% and Norwich 87% as things stand.

As for the other three sides currently in this seven-club battle to beat the drop, they back Brentford and Everton to reach 40 points, with Leeds projected to finish 16th on 39 points come May 22nd.

Here's their predicted table in full:

Top half:

Bottom half:

There's still a long, long way to go, with many twists and turns still possible, but their projections suggest our trip to Burnley on the final day of the season could be one hell of a nail-biter at the bottom!

Hopefully they are right and we avoid the drop - even if it's by just two points - however it would be nice for our blood pressure if it didn't come down to the last day.

How do you see things panning out between now and the close of play? Personally, I can see Brentford being dragged into it a little more than the statisticians currently expect...

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